Market Seasonality
One of the most up-to-date seasonal databases available anywhere online, with our unique seasonal pattern confirmation.
Seasonality is the
study of a market over time to establish if there is a
regular and predictable change that occurs within that markets price
every calendar year. Every market experiences periods of either greater supply or demand throughout a year, and it is these forces that drive seasonal patterns. Seasonality allows us to establish these periods to give us an indication ahead of time, how a market could perform in the future.
Remember, a seasonal pattern gives us a bias for a market but this should be backed up with our CoT data to give the best signals.
Monthly Performance Heat Map
This heat map shows the
average historical % change in price each month. Use the heat map
as a starting point to help find the
biggest movers each month, before then checking out the complete
seasonal pattern for those markets in our seasonal charts database. To access the full seasonal
chart database, log on to our members area
here
(Percentages updated for 2023)
Our members have access to the Seasonal charts (Just like British Pound example below) for over 40 major markets and are extremely powerful when combined with our
CoT data. E.g. If a markets
seasonal pattern indicates a price rally is possible in the coming months and we can see
strong buying is taking place in that market through our CoT data, it is a very good indication that its seasonal pattern will ring true again this calendar year.
Our seasonal charts database is one of the most complete available online, with charts containing more history and more up-to-date markets than anywhere else. Our charts also contain our very own unique
'weighted average seasonal pattern', which we created to help monitor the the changing characteristics of each market over time. It is based on the study of each market over 4 time periods (where data allows),
5 years, 10 years, 20 years, and the complete available history.
An average is then taken from these 4 periods, creating a seasonal average that is more weighted and responsive to the price movement in recent years. By doing this we can see if a markets seasonal pattern is changing over time and if so, ensure our trading evolves with that market.
Looking at any market over just one time period in isolation, can be very misleading.
British Pound - Seasonal chart example
GBP's is a market like many others that has repeating patterns within it's calendar year, from its strength in April to its weakness in August, time and time again the regularity of these pattern will surprise you. GBP has been negative from September 20th to October 6th, 90% of the time in the past 10 years, and this is just 1 of the 4 patterns GBP has with a >80% success rate over the same period. Check out our database today, and start finding higher probability market moves.
All time seasonal pattern (Blue line) Weighted average seasonal pattern (Yellow line).
Log in to read more about both patterns
Our Seasonal Charts database includes all of the following markets and also provides seasonal analysis of select markets for the US Presidential election cycle. 2021 is a Post-Election year and we have therefore added the Post-Election seasonal patterns to these charts. Details of which select markets in the table below.
| Currencies |
Stock Indices |
Energies |
Softs |
| Euro |
S&P 500 |
Crude Oil |
Coffee |
| British Pound |
Dow 30 |
Heating Oil |
Cocoa |
| US Dollar Index |
Nasdaq 100 |
Natural Gas |
Sugar |
| Australian Dollar |
Nikkei |
Gasoline |
Cotton |
| New Zealand Dollar |
DAX |
|
Lumber |
| Canadian Dollar |
CAC |
Metals |
Orange Juice |
| Japanese Yen |
|
Gold |
|
| Mexican Peso |
US Sectors |
Silver |
Grains |
| Swiss Franc |
Con' Discretionary |
Platinum |
Wheat |
| |
Con' Staples |
Palladium |
Corn |
| Presidential cycles |
Energy |
Copper |
Oats |
| US Dollar Index |
Financials |
|
Rough Rice |
| Euro |
Healthcare |
Treasurys |
Soybeans |
| British Pound |
Industrials |
10-Year |
Soybean Meal |
| Australian Dollar |
Materials |
5-Year |
Soybean Oil |
| Japanese Yen |
Utilities |
US - Bond |
|
| S&P 500 |
Technology |
|
|
| Gold |
|
|
|
| Crude Oil |
|
|
|
To access the full list of Seasonal chart patterns in our members area please Log on
Or if you are not a member yet, why not join today.