Market Seasonality

 

seasonal trading softwareThe most advanced seasonal software available anywhere online. Check out our free seasonal recourses below or log in to our seasonal platform to get A.I. generated trade ideas or to find your own custom patterns.


What is Seasonality?

Seasonality is the study of a market over time to establish if there is a regular and predictable change that occurs within that markets price every calendar year. Every market experiences periods of either greater supply or demand throughout the year, and it is these forces that drive seasonal patterns. Seasonal studies allow us to establish when these periods are, to give us an indication ahead of time how a market could perform in the future.

Below is our popular monthly performance heat map which shows the average % change in each market every month over the last 20 years. This is an excellent resourse to help quickly identify which markets are set to start bullish or bearish seasonal patterns at any time through the year.


Monthly Performance Heat Map

This heat map shows the average historical % change in price each month. Use the heat map
as a starting point to help find the biggest movers each month.
(Percentages updated for 2023)
Monthly performance heatmap for Currencies, stocks, Gold, Crude and commodities
 


From the heat map to the chart

When you've found a market on the heat map that looks interesting, you can then dig a little deeper and take a look at that markets full seasonal chart so you can identify the start and end dates of any seasonal move. If we use the British Pound as an example, the heat map shows that April is historically a very strong month for the currency but it doesn't tell us when that strength is expected to start. This is where referencing its seasonal chart will help you hone in on the optimum time to trade. 

With the British Pound seasonal chart below, we can see that the historical April strength typically starts around March 24th, so you should be looking for bullish price action and potential breakouts to the upside from March 17th (to give you a 'seasonal window' of one week either side of the expected date when the move could begin)

GBPUSD all-time seasonal chart
All time seasonal pattern (Blue line) Weighted average seasonal pattern (Yellow line).
 

Or in the case of Gold, the heat map suggests July and August is a positive period for the metal, but again does not tell us when this period begins or ends, so the seasonal chart is vital to help nail down those details.

From the seasonal chart below, we can see that a low can form as early as June 14th but that the main strength of the move typically does not start until around July 26th. Critical information if you want to use seasonality to give your trading an edge.
 
Gold 20-year seasonal chart
All time seasonal pattern (Blue line) Weighted average seasonal pattern (Yellow line).
 


Let A.I. do the hard work

If you'd skip all the time it takes to analyse the charts manually to find patterns you can always let A.I. do the hard work for you. Our seasonal software uses A.I. to pinpoint the optimum time to trade any market and will give you all the performance stats to back it up, such as the Gold 20-year pattern below, which has identified July 26th to September 6th as one of the best periods to be long the metal, with a success rate of 75%, it has been positive 15 of the last 20 years. Optimum conditions like these are where you will find the best trades. 
 
 
Try our new Seasonal platform

Get access to all this plus much more with our seasonal platform. Hand picked trades ideas every month, generated by A.I. so you can focus on trading the highest quality markets.
try for free
 
 
   
Below is a selection of major markets you will have access to within our seasonal software. In addition to these there is also a wide range of seasonally significant US stocks and UK stocks, with the database growing all the time.
For a full list of markets covered, click here.

 
Currencies   Stock Indices Energies Softs
Euro S&P 500 Crude Oil Coffee
British Pound Dow 30 Heating Oil Cocoa
US Dollar Index        Nasdaq 100              Natural Gas       Sugar
Australian Dollar FTSE 100 Gasoline Cotton
New Zealand Dollar DAX   Lumber
Canadian Dollar CAC 40 Metals     Orange Juice    
Japanese Yen Nikkei 225 Gold  
Mexican Peso   Silver Grains
Swiss Franc US Sectors Platinum Wheat
  Con' Staples Palladium Corn
Presidential cycles   Con' Discretionary   Copper Soybeans
US Dollar Index Financials     Soybean Meal  
Euro Energy Treasurys Soybean Oil
British Pound Industrials 10-Year     
Australian Dollar Materials 5-Year  
Japanese Yen Utilities US - Bond  
S&P 500 Technology    
Gold Healthcare    
Crude Oil